I think I went 8-5-2 last week, so a little better than previously.
If anyone wants to know, I got my odds here, on 10/3.
It’s that time of the week again. Here are this week’s picks!
Indianapolis at New England (-10.5). The Patriots are probably the better team, but they have been wildly inconsistent this year, which makes the 10.5 point spread seem a bit high to me, even at Foxboro. IND – take the points
Baltimore (-3) at Cleveland. If the spread were a bit higher, I might take the Browns, but I think Ravens can cover 3 points. BAL – give the points
Jacksonville at Kansas City (-3). Two pretty good teams, and the Chiefs very good offense makes for a compelling story going up against the Jaguars defense. While the traditional logic is to take the defense in that scenario, they’re also playing in KC, and the new rules restricting defense make me think the Chiefs have an advantage. KC – give the points
Tennessee (-3) at Buffalo. The Titans are looking like a good team this year, and the Bills are looking… like the Bills. TEN – give the points
NY Giants at Carolina (-7). The only thing I wonder about with this game is whether the Panthers can cover the spread. Based on not very much, I’ll say yes. CAR – give the points
Denver at NY Jets (-1). A fight between two mediocre teams. However, with a one point spread, it’s essentially picking which team will win outright. Basically, who sucks less on the given day. I’ll say the Jets. NYJ – give the point
Atlanta at Pittsburgh (-4). Another fight between two teams unlikely to see the playoffs. I want to pick the Steelers, but I’m really thinking they’re going to win by a FG or less. Ah, screw it. PIT – give the points
Green Bay (-1) at Detroit. Another game that’s essentially a pick ‘em. I hate picking so many away teams, but I’m not picking the Lions. GB – give the point
Miami at Cincinnati (-6). Damn, another game where I want to pick the away team, at least against the spread. I’ll ignore that here. CIN – give the points
Oakland at LA Chargers (-6). I think LA is the better team here, and they’re at home, so this is one of my earlier choices. LA – give the points
Arizona at San Francisco (-5). San Francisco isn’t that great, but Arizona has been terrible this year. SF – give the points
Minnesota at Philadelphia (-3). I think the Eagles will be able to cover a 3 point spread at home against the Vikings. PHI – give the points
LA Rams (-7) at Seattle. The Rams have been a much better team than the Seahawks this year, so this is one away team I don’t mind picking. LAR – give the points
Dallas at Houston (-3). I really don’t know which team to pick in the Texas bowl, so I’ll go with the Texans at home. HOU – give the points
Washington at New Orleans (-6.5). New Orleans has a very good offense, but they’re headed against a Redskins defense that isn’t bad. Meanwhile, the Washington offense isn’t bad, and they’re going up against a Saints defense that’s mediocre. If the spread was a bit higher, I’d probably go with Washington, but I do think NO can cover under a TD. NO – give the points