Ranking college football teams is contentious stuff, and since I love football and math and human nature, this is one of my favorite topics.
Since I’m a jerk, I like making fun of people, and over-rating things is easy pickings. People are optimistic; they run in herds (so do lemmings), and they are bad at math and statistics. So, since figuring your own ratings takes time while poking fun at the overly optimistic is easy (sports is a target-rich zone), I just point out rankings that are likely to be too high. I’ll get some of these wrong (shrugs: so does everyone, that’s how the pointy ball bounces), but I’ll also get to point and Nelson-laugh a time or two most weeks.
To get us started, I stuck my neck out and had some opinions last week and was brave enough to put them in writing. Like most first weeks, this one didn’t tell us much, but a couple of teams failed to handle their cupcakes well.
Week Zero Most OverRated Football Program Results
1 UCF played nobody
2 Northwestern oops; see below
3 Washington St played nobody
4 Florida barely survived Miami
5 Utah did not man-handle BYU
6 Syracuse hung 24 on Liberty!
7 Iowa St edged North Iowa . . . edged!
8 Texas played nobody
8 Stanford hung 17 on Northwestern!
8 Georgia handled Vandy
11 Clemson destroyed hapless Ga Tech
11 Oklahoma was sorely tested by Houston
11 LSU played nobody
So not much news, irony, or missteps . . . as we would expect.
I honestly can’t figure out why I had an opinion about them
Northwestern: how’d they get in my list last week!? I have no idea. . . . . . let’s get back to business.
So I had a clerical error and a few insights for the first week. Since the weekend, the AP re-racked its votes and came out with a new top 25, so here’s, predictably,
Week Two Most OverRated Football Program Results
1 Iowa St how our new king is still ranked at all?
2 Florida no one will admit they were wrong yet
3 Utah they know something or I do; we can’t both be right
3 Syracuse holding steady, their news yet to come
5 Texas the Notre Dame of southwestern over-ratedness
5 Michigan St joins our list after stomping little Tulsa
5 Georgia is good, but more than two teams are even better
8 UCF opinions and facts are coming together slowly
9 Notre Dame perennially over-rated, they finally join our list
9 Texas A&M joins the list after blowing up Texas State at home
9 Auburn is suddenly slightly over-rated after defeating Oregon
12 Stanford proved enough to be somewhat less over-rated
12 Clemson it’s always easy to say the number one team is slightly over-rated
12 Oklahoma is plenty deep, solid, and might justify the hype eventually
12 Oregon got spanked in the ratings but is still barely over-rated
No Longer OverRated Because I was Wrong
LSU I think this was a brain fart, but I should have caught it so my bad
Washington St proved enough to come off my list
So closes another week in silly season.